Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000708 0.000736 0.000765 0.000797 0.000831 0.000865 0.000904
2025-10-26 0.000646 0.000687 0.000730 0.000779 0.000833 0.000890 0.000956
2025-11-02 0.000609 0.000660 0.000714 0.000777 0.000849 0.000928 0.001022
2025-11-09 0.000573 0.000630 0.000692 0.000766 0.000851 0.000948 0.001067
2025-11-16 0.000544 0.000605 0.000673 0.000756 0.000854 0.000967 0.001110
2025-11-23 0.000531 0.000598 0.000673 0.000767 0.000879 0.001013 0.001187
2025-11-30 0.000515 0.000586 0.000667 0.000768 0.000893 0.001045 0.001246
2025-12-07 0.000495 0.000567 0.000652 0.000758 0.000892 0.001057 0.001281
2025-12-14 0.000477 0.000550 0.000636 0.000747 0.000889 0.001066 0.001311
2025-12-21 0.000461 0.000536 0.000625 0.000740 0.000889 0.001079 0.001346
2025-12-28 0.000437 0.000510 0.000597 0.000711 0.000860 0.001052 0.001326
2026-01-04 0.000423 0.000497 0.000585 0.000703 0.000857 0.001059 0.001351
2026-01-11 0.000412 0.000487 0.000577 0.000699 0.000861 0.001075 0.001392
2026-01-18 0.000400 0.000475 0.000567 0.000692 0.000860 0.001085 0.001424
2026-01-25 0.000393 0.000469 0.000564 0.000694 0.000871 0.001113 0.001484
2026-02-01 0.000382 0.000458 0.000554 0.000685 0.000867 0.001119 0.001511
2026-02-08 0.000371 0.000448 0.000544 0.000678 0.000864 0.001125 0.001539
2026-02-15 0.000369 0.000447 0.000547 0.000687 0.000885 0.001168 0.001624
2026-02-22 0.000363 0.000442 0.000544 0.000689 0.000895 0.001194 0.001685
2026-03-01 0.000354 0.000433 0.000535 0.000680 0.000890 0.001197 0.001710
2026-03-08 0.000345 0.000423 0.000525 0.000671 0.000884 0.001198 0.001730
2026-03-15 0.000337 0.000415 0.000517 0.000665 0.000882 0.001205 0.001760
2026-03-22 0.000323 0.000398 0.000497 0.000640 0.000851 0.001166 0.001712